Green Candles, Pendle Launches Boros, and DATs | Livestream
Green Candles, Pendle Launches Boros, and DATs | Livestream
274 days ago0xResearchBlockworks
Podcast1 hr 11 min
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

The launch of the Boros interest rate swap market is a major growth catalyst for Pendle (PENDLE), with promising early volume suggesting a significant new revenue stream. As the leading exchange on Base, Aerodrome (AERO) is a direct beneficiary of Coinbase integrating on-chain trading for its US users. Consider investigating Marathon Digital (MARA) as a potential value play if it trades below the net asset value of its Bitcoin holdings. Aave (AAVE) is presented as a resilient DeFi "blue-chip" that continues to dominate new markets and grow its revenue. These opportunities are supported by powerful demand for Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) from both spot ETFs and corporate treasuries.

Detailed Analysis

Pendle (PENDLE)

  • Pendle has two main products: its established V2 markets for yield trading and its new Boros market.
  • The V2 markets have seen blockbuster success, with Total Value Locked (TVL) hitting new all-time highs. This growth is largely driven by Ethena's USDe, which accounts for 66% of Pendle's TVL.
  • The newly launched Boros product is an on-chain interest rate swap market, starting with perpetual futures funding rates. In TradFi, this is an enormous market ($500 trillion+ in notional open interest).
  • Early data for Boros is described as "particularly promising." In its first 24 hours, with only two markets (BTC and ETH funding rates on Binance) and small open interest caps, it generated $15 million in volume.
  • Annualized, this early volume could translate to $17 million to $43 million in revenue, which would be a significant addition to the $50 million in annualized revenue from their existing V2 market.
  • There is a clear path to expansion by listing more assets, more maturities, and funding rates from more exchanges (e.g., Bybit, OKX, Hyperliquid). The speaker projects Boros could eventually generate $180 million in annualized revenue.
  • The PENDLE token repriced significantly on this news, jumping 40% since the Boros launch.
  • Pendle also launched on HyperEVM, where it has crossed $100 million in deposits, primarily driven by users farming the Hyperliquid airdrop.

Takeaways

  • The launch of Boros represents a major new growth vector for Pendle, potentially expanding its addressable market and revenue streams significantly. The initial traction is a strong bullish signal.
  • Investors should monitor the volume and open interest on Boros as Pendle lifts caps and adds new markets. Continued growth could justify a higher valuation.
  • Pendle's deep integration with Ethena (USDe) makes it a primary beneficiary of USDe's continued growth. The synergy between Pendle, Ethena, and Aave is a powerful narrative.
  • The decision to build Boros on Arbitrum is seen as a smart move for lower fees and better performance, positioning it closer to the capital on derivatives platforms like Hyperliquid.

Digital Asset Treasuries (DATs) & Related Stocks

  • This is an increasingly popular strategy where publicly traded companies hold crypto assets like Bitcoin (BTC) or Ethereum (ETH) on their balance sheets.
  • Ethereum DATs have accumulated approximately 1.8 million ETH (worth ~$7 billion) since June, happening at the same time as ETH ETFs saw billions in inflows.
  • Marathon Digital (MARA) was highlighted as an interesting case. The speaker noted it raised nearly $1 billion in 0% convertible notes and, at the time of the podcast, was trading "slightly below NAV (Net Asset Value)."
  • The investment thesis for a company like MicroStrategy (MSTR) is its ability to use capital markets to grow its Bitcoin per share holdings, which could justify trading at a premium to the value of the assets it currently holds.
  • A key risk factor is reflexivity. These companies buy assets as the price goes up, but if the market turns, they could be forced to sell, adding to downside pressure. This is a bigger concern for the newer ETH DATs that bought at higher prices compared to MicroStrategy's longer-term BTC accumulation.
  • The overall leverage in these companies is not considered "absurdly high," reducing the risk of a mass liquidation cascade similar to past cycles.

Takeaways

  • For direct exposure, the speakers suggest that buying the underlying asset (BTC or ETH) is simpler and carries less operational risk than buying the DAT stocks.
  • Marathon (MARA) was presented as a potential value play. If it trades below its NAV, an investor is essentially buying the Bitcoin it holds at a discount and getting the mining business for free. This is a specific claim that investors should verify for themselves.
  • The DAT trend is a major source of demand for BTC and ETH. While this is bullish, investors should be aware that if sentiment sours, these companies could become a source of selling pressure.
  • The trend is considered "still early," with the potential for more mainstream companies (like Tesla, which already holds BTC) to add crypto to their balance sheets, providing a long-term tailwind for the asset class.

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • A strong historical correlation (90%) was noted between Bitcoin and a gaming stocks ETF (ESPO), suggesting both have been treated as high-risk, "risk-on" assets.
  • However, a divergence in this correlation began in late 2023. The speaker posits this is due to the "digital gold" narrative strengthening and the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs, which brought in new institutional flows.
  • The podcast sponsor, Aptos, was mentioned as a place where "Bitcoin DeFi is heating up," with nearly $400 million in BTC assets on-chain for users to earn yield.
  • A speaker reiterated the advice to "not fade the ETFs," suggesting confidence in continued inflows and their positive impact on price.

Takeaways

  • The decoupling from other risk assets is a bullish sign for Bitcoin, suggesting it is maturing as an asset class with its own unique drivers (i.e., institutional adoption via ETFs).
  • Continued inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs are a critical factor to watch and remain a primary bullish catalyst.
  • For investors holding BTC and looking for yield, ecosystems like Aptos are emerging as venues to put their assets to work, though this comes with its own set of smart contract and platform risks.

Ethereum (ETH)

  • The price was noted to be at or approaching $4,000.
  • A significant source of recent demand has come from Digital Asset Treasuries (DATs) and spot ETH ETFs, which have both been accumulating large amounts of ETH.
  • The synergy between Ethena (USDe), Pendle (PENDLE), and Aave (AAVE) is a major driver of activity and value within the Ethereum DeFi ecosystem. The growth of USDe directly benefits the other protocols.

Takeaways

  • The dual demand from both ETFs and DATs is a powerful tailwind for ETH's price.
  • The primary risk highlighted is reflexivity. Many ETH DATs accumulated their holdings between $3,000 and $4,000. A significant price drop could turn these buyers into sellers, potentially amplifying a market downturn.
  • The health and growth of the Ethena/Pendle/Aave ecosystem is a key indicator of the vibrancy of Ethereum's DeFi scene.

DeFi & Ecosystem Plays

  • Aave (AAVE): Demonstrated its market dominance by capturing 80% market share in the Principal Token (PT) collateral market, despite being a later entrant than competitors like Morpho and Euler. This highlights Aave's powerful "liquidity moat." The new PT markets are projected to add an additional $20 million in annual revenue for Aave.
  • Aerodrome Finance (AERO): The token price reportedly jumped 16% on news that Coinbase is launching on-chain DEX trading for its US users. As the leading DEX on Base (Coinbase's L2), Aerodrome is seen as a direct beneficiary of this integration.
  • On-chain IPOs/Equities: There is a growing trend of launching new assets on-chain, from ICOs (Pump.fun, Heaven Dex) to tokenized pre-IPO stocks (Jupiter, Ventuals). The speakers see this as a more efficient way for companies to raise capital compared to traditional IPOs that "leave money on the table."
  • Coinbase (COIN): Their move to integrate DEX trading directly into the Coinbase app is seen as a major catalyst for the on-chain ecosystem, particularly for assets on Base and soon Solana. It simplifies access for millions of users to the world of DeFi.

Takeaways

  • Aave (AAVE) is presented as a "blue-chip" DeFi protocol whose established brand and deep liquidity allow it to outcompete newer rivals, making it a more resilient long-term holding.
  • Aerodrome (AERO) is a clear "beta play" on the success of the Base ecosystem and Coinbase's broader on-chain strategy. Its future is tightly linked to the activity Coinbase can drive to its L2.
  • The tokenization of real-world and pre-market assets is an emerging, high-risk/high-reward theme. Platforms facilitating this (like Jupiter on Solana) and the exchanges integrating them (Coinbase) are key infrastructure plays on this trend.
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Episode Description
In this week’s livestream, we discuss market momentum with ETH nearing $4K, and notable BTC–gaming stock correlations. We also dive into Pendle’s launch of Boros, and what it brings to the market. Finally, we examine digital asset treasury companies, IPO/ICO trends, tokenized pre-IPO trading, and Coinbase’s DEX trading rollout. Thanks for tuning in! As always, remember this podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are solely their opinions, not financial advice. -- Bitcoin DeFi is heating up on Aptos, the BTCFi growth chain with nearly $400M in BTC assets supported by a secure, fast, and affordable MVM environment. Aptos users can acquire, hold, and earn attractive BTCFi yields via Echo aBTC and OKX xBTC, without typical bridge risks and high fees.  Explore BTC yield opportunities on Aptos via OKX Earn and Aptos-native platforms https://web3.okx.com/earn/activity/xbtc-aptos  -- Accelerate your app development on Algorand with AlgoKit 3.0—now with native TypeScript and Python support, visual debugging, and seamless testing. Build, test, and deploy smarter with tools designed for speed and simplicity. Start building with AlgoKit today: https://algorand.co/algokit?utm_source=blockworkspodcast&utm_medium=banner&utm_campaign=algokit3&utm_id=algokit3&utm_term=algokit3 -- Follow Carlos: https://x.com/0xcarlosg Follow Luke: https://x.com/0xMether Follow Marc: https://x.com/marcarjoon Follow Danny: https://x.com/defi_kay_ Follow Blockworks Research: https://x.com/blockworksres Subscribe on YouTube: https://bit.ly/3foDS38 Subscribe on Apple: https://apple.co/3SNhUEt Subscribe on Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3NlP1hA Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ Join the 0xResearch Telegram group: https://t.me/+z0H6y2bS-dllODVh -- Timestamps: (0:00) Introduction (1:36) Come to DAS London (5:04) Market Overview (12:54) Aptos Ad (13:28) Pendle Launches Boros (39:30) Ads (Aptos & Algorand) (40:43) Digital Asset Treasuries (56:53) Trump Plans to IPO Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (1:07:53) Coinbase Rollsout DEX Trading -- Check out Blockworks Research today! Research, data, governance, tokenomics, and models – now, all in one place Blockworks Research: https://www.blockworksresearch.com/ Free Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter -- Disclaimer: Nothing said on 0xResearch is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are solely our opinions, not financial advice. Boccaccio, Danny, and our guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
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By Blockworks

0xResearch is the show for those who want to step up their game and think like a crypto analyst. We bring on crypto's best to uncover the latest research, explore protocol developments and identify new narratives. We are full-time crypto analysts who read white papers, governance forums and research pieces for fun (normal, right?). Join us as we combine crypto's top talent with our countless hours of research to create the best content in the space.  Subscribe on YouTube: https://bit.ly/3foDS38 Subscribe on Apple: https://apple.co/3SNhUEt Subscribe on Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3NlP1hA Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ Join the 0xResearch Telegram group: https://t.me/+z0H6y2bS-dllODVh