Crypto Legislation Gains, US Retail Surprise, and Japan’s Election Risk: PALvatar Market Recap, July 18 2025
5 hours agoReal Vision: Finance & InvestingReal Vision Podcast Network
Podcast5 min 59 sec
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Quick Insights

Favorable US crypto legislation is creating a major tailwind for the entire digital asset market. The potential inclusion of crypto in 401k retirement plans represents a massive long-term catalyst for the asset class. Given this backdrop, Bitcoin (BTC) is considered extremely appealing on the charts right now. XRP is showing exceptional strength after surging to a new multi-year all-time high, which is a very bullish signal. Investors may consider gaining exposure to these assets to capitalize on the strong regulatory and market momentum.

Detailed Analysis

Crypto & Digital Assets (General Theme)

  • The US is on the verge of its first major crypto legislation, which is seen as a significant positive for the market.
    • The Digital Asset Market Clarity Act has passed the House with strong bipartisan support and is now heading to the Senate.
    • The Stablecoin Regulating Genius Act has passed both houses of Congress and is awaiting the President's signature.
  • President Donald Trump is reportedly considering an executive order to allow 401k retirement plans to invest in digital assets. This news caused a surge in crypto prices.

Takeaways

  • The move towards regulatory clarity in the US is a major bullish development. It reduces a key risk (legal uncertainty) that has been holding back institutional and retail investment.
  • The potential inclusion of crypto in 401k plans would be a massive long-term catalyst, potentially unlocking a new wave of capital and sustained demand for the asset class.

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • The price of Bitcoin surged following the positive news about US crypto legislation and the potential for inclusion in 401k plans.
  • The podcast noted that crypto prices, including Bitcoin, are looking "extremely appealing" on the charts right now.

Takeaways

  • The positive regulatory momentum is a significant tailwind for Bitcoin, reinforcing its legitimacy as an investment asset.
  • Investors should closely monitor any official announcements regarding the inclusion of Bitcoin in 401k plans, as this could be a major driver of future price appreciation.

XRP

  • The price of XRP surged significantly on the legislative news.
  • It was specifically mentioned that XRP reached a new all-time high, surpassing its previous record set in 2018.

Takeaways

  • Achieving a new multi-year all-time high is a very strong bullish signal, indicating powerful upward momentum and a potential breakout.
  • Given XRP's past legal challenges in the US, the progress on regulatory clarity is likely viewed as exceptionally positive for this specific asset.

US Stocks (S&P 500)

  • The S&P 500 index reached a record high on Thursday.
  • The rally was fueled by strong US economic data that beat expectations:
    • June retail sales rose 0.6% (versus 0.1% expected).
    • Initial jobless claims fell to 221,000 (versus 235,000 expected).

Takeaways

  • The strong economic data suggests the US economy is resilient, which is a bullish sign for corporate earnings and the overall stock market.
  • The market is exhibiting strong positive momentum. However, investors should be mindful that investing at all-time highs can carry its own risks.

Japanese Markets (Yen & Stocks)

  • Traders have become cautious on the Japanese yen and the Japanese stock market.
  • The primary reason is political uncertainty ahead of the upper house elections scheduled for Sunday.
  • There are fears of "potential instability" if the Prime Minister's ruling coalition loses its majority.

Takeaways

  • This is a short-term risk factor. Investors with exposure to Japanese assets should be prepared for potential volatility following the election results.
  • A negative election outcome for the ruling party could lead to a sell-off in Japanese stocks and the yen.

Gold & Private Equity

  • Gold and private equity were mentioned alongside crypto as asset classes that could soon be allowed in 401k retirement plans through a potential executive order.

Takeaways

  • This represents a potential long-term bullish catalyst for both asset classes.
  • Opening up the massive 401k market would create a significant new source of demand, which could support higher valuations for gold and private equity funds over time.
Episode Description
🔥 Get Raoul Pal's FREE PDF report https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe. ⬜ Welcome to Palvatar Market Recap, your go-to daily briefing on the latest market movements, global macro shifts, and crypto trends—powered by Raoul Pal’s AI avatar, Palvatar. ⬜ In today’s update, Palvatar covers the U.S. crypto legislation breakthrough as the CLARITY and GENIUS Acts gain traction, with markets cheering the potential for 401k crypto access under President Trump. Bitcoin nears $121K, XRP hits new highs. Strong U.S. retail data and falling jobless claims push stocks upward, while Germany’s deflation fuels ECB rate cut hopes. Japan faces election uncertainty amid stable inflation. Palvatar reminds us: charts can wait, life can’t. 🔹 Why tune in? Stay ahead of market-moving developments with concise, data-driven insights. 🔹 Who should listen? Traders, investors, and macro enthusiasts looking for real-time market intelligence. 🍌 Get your Banana Zone swag at the Real Vision merch store: https://shop.realvision.com 1️⃣ Need liquidity without selling your crypto? Figure offers Crypto-Backed Loans, allowing you to borrow against your Bitcoin or Ethereum with 12-month terms and no prepayment penalties. 2️⃣ They have the lowest rates in the industry at 9.9%, allowing you to access instant cash or buy more Bitcoin without triggering a tax event. You can always see your BTC ownership in your FM account and verify holdings in your personal BTC vault on chain. 3️⃣ Unlock your crypto’s potential today. Visit their app (figuremarkets.onelink.me/Plnq/2uhuytay) to apply for a Crypto Backed Loan today! Figure Lending LLC dba Figure. Equal Opportunity Lender. NMLS 1717824. Terms and conditions apply. Visit figure.com for more information. Unlock the potential to showcase your brand to our global audience. Contact us at partnerships@realvision.com for advertising inquiries. Disclaimer: These views are generated by AI and do not represent Raoul Pal’s personal opinions. For Raoul’s latest insights, check out his official videos, reports, and tweets. Connect with Raoul: Twitter (X): https://twitter.com/RaoulGMI Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/raoulgmi/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/raoul-pal-real-vision/ Connect with Real Vision™ Online: Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Web: 🔥 https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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