Palantir (PLTR)

• The stock reached a new all-time high, trading around $149 during the podcast, with the host watching for a potential break of the $150 resistance level.
• Bullish Catalyst: The primary driver for the day's momentum was a Bloomberg report that Palantir's CEO, Alex Karp, will be in Pennsylvania with President Trump to announce a $70 billion investment in AI and energy.
  • The host believes this is excellent publicity and could signal Palantir's involvement in implementing AI software for major infrastructure projects.
  • The event is scheduled for Tuesday, and the market may be speculating on a significant announcement from Karp.
• Execution: The host highlighted Palantir's recent execution, mentioning partnerships and deals with Accenture, a $100 million nuclear company deal, Blue Forge Alliance, SAP, Fannie Mae, and Bain.
• Earnings: Palantir will report earnings on August 4th.
  • The host believes the company needs to report revenue of at least $950 million to achieve 40% year-over-year growth.
  • A surprise $1 billion revenue quarter is seen as a major potential catalyst that would excite investors and help justify the current valuation.

Takeaways

• Sentiment is highly bullish, driven by a major news catalyst involving a potential government-related AI and energy initiative.
• The upcoming event in Pennsylvania with Trump and Alex Karp is a key event to watch for potential announcements that could further impact the stock price.
• The August 4th earnings report is the next major checkpoint. Investors will be looking for continued high growth (around 40%) to support the stock's high valuation. A beat on revenue expectations could lead to further upside.

Rocket Lab (RKLB)

• The stock had a strong day, breaking through the $43 level and closing up nearly 10%.
• Bullish Catalyst: The move was primarily attributed to a Citibank upgrade which set a $50 price target.
• The host noted that the analyst's valuation model to justify the $50 target is based on revenue projections far into the future (2029), suggesting it's viewed as a long-term, high-growth story.
• Earnings are scheduled for August 7th.

Takeaways

• Sentiment is bullish, supported by a positive analyst rating and price target.
• Rocket Lab is being valued as a "generational company," meaning investors are looking past near-term financials towards a much larger future potential. This implies that the stock may trade on narrative and long-term vision rather than current profitability.
• The August 7th earnings will be the next data point for investors to assess the company's progress.

Meta Platforms (META)

• CEO Mark Zuckerberg announced a massive strategic push into Artificial Super Intelligence (ASI).
• Key Announcements:
  • Meta plans to invest "hundreds of billions of dollars" into computing power for AI development.
  • They are building several multi-gigawatt data centers, with the first, named "Prometheus," set to come online in 2026.
  • The goal is to have the "greatest compute per researcher," a key factor in attracting top AI talent.
• Strategy Shift:
  • This move positions Meta to compete directly with OpenAI, Microsoft, and Google in the AI arms race.
  • It could also create a new business line for Meta: selling "compute as a service," diversifying revenue away from advertising.
  • The company is also reportedly considering shifting its powerful Llama AI model from an open-source strategy to a closed, proprietary model that they can charge for.

Takeaways

• Sentiment is bullish on Meta's aggressive AI strategy. Zuckerberg is seen as proactively attacking the market with significant capital.
• This is a long-term investment theme. The massive capital expenditure signals a deep commitment to winning the AI race, which could unlock significant future value if successful.
• Risk Factor: The host mentioned that the energy required for these massive data centers is a potential bottleneck, as a "five gigawatt deployment" would consume more energy than some small countries.

Robinhood (HOOD)

• The stock was trading near the key psychological level of $100.
• S&P 500 Inclusion: A major topic of discussion was Robinhood's potential inclusion in the S&P 500.
  • However, during the podcast, it was revealed that The Trade Desk (TTD) was added to the S&P 500, replacing another company.
  • This news caused HOOD and AppLovin (APP), another potential candidate, to dip in after-hours trading.
• The host believes the real opportunity for inclusion will be during the official rebalance in September.
• CEO Vlad Tenev's recent podcast appearance was highlighted, where he discussed the company's improved ability to ship new products and features, which is seen as a positive for the business.

Takeaways

• Short-term sentiment is neutral to slightly bearish due to the disappointment of not being included in the S&P 500 this time around.
• The next major catalyst to watch for is the S&P 500 rebalance in September. A successful inclusion would likely be a significant positive driver for the stock.
• The underlying business fundamentals, particularly the pace of product innovation, are viewed as strong.

NVIDIA (NVDA)

• The stock was trading around $164, holding above a $4 trillion market cap.
• The main discussion point was CEO Jensen Huang's commentary on China.
• Huang argued that US restrictions on selling lower-end chips to China are counterproductive, as they force China to accelerate the development of its own domestic chip ecosystem (e.g., Huawei).
• The host agreed with this assessment, pointing to new AI models from Chinese companies like Alibaba and Baidu as evidence that they are catching up.

Takeaways

• Sentiment is neutral. While NVIDIA is a dominant force in AI, the discussion highlights a significant long-term geopolitical risk.
• Investors should monitor the competitive landscape in China. The growth of local Chinese competitors, spurred by US sanctions, could eventually erode NVIDIA's market share in one of the world's largest markets.

Grab (GRAB)

• The stock has been "pinned" at the $5 level, which the host believes is due to market makers loading up before a potential breakout.
• Bullish Thesis:
  • The host is confident in a strong Q2 earnings report but believes the major breakout will occur after Q3 earnings.
  • He projects 40-50% EPS growth in Q3, which he believes could push the stock towards $7 by the end of the year.
  • A major positive development is the news that Indonesia's government is investigating Grab's main competitor, GoTo, for fraud. This could weaken the competitor and allow Grab to gain significant market share.

Takeaways

• Sentiment is very bullish. The host sees Grab as an overlooked, under-the-radar company with a long runway for growth.
• The investigation into its competitor is a significant, unexpected catalyst that strengthens Grab's competitive position in a key market.
• Investors should watch for the Q2 and especially Q3 earnings reports for signs of accelerating growth and profitability.

Bitcoin (BTC) & Ethereum (ETH)

• Bitcoin (BTC) was trading around the $120,000 level after hitting a high of $123,000.
• Ethereum (ETH) was holding the key $3,000 level.
• Bullish Catalyst: The primary driver is "Crypto Week" on Capitol Hill, where Congress is considering three pieces of legislation:
  1. A regulatory framework for digital assets.
  2. An anti-CBDC (Central Bank Digital Currency) act.
  3. Federal rules for stablecoins.
• The host views all three potential bills as "super bullish for Bitcoin" as they would provide much-needed regulatory clarity for the industry.

Takeaways

• Sentiment is bullish, driven by potential positive regulatory developments in the U.S.
• Progress on these bills could serve as a major tailwind for the entire crypto market by reducing uncertainty and encouraging institutional adoption.
• The $120,000 level for Bitcoin is a key psychological and technical level to watch.

Investment Themes & Other Mentions

AI & Energy Sector

• Theme: The massive buildout of AI infrastructure is creating unprecedented demand for energy. Meta's data centers alone are projected to need more power than some countries.
• Takeaway: This creates a strong, long-term bullish case for energy companies, especially those involved in nuclear power and data center infrastructure.
• Stocks Mentioned: Oklo (OKLO), NuScale Power (SMR), and Constellation Energy (CEG) all saw gains, partly fueled by the Trump/Pennsylvania investment news.

The Trade Desk (TTD)

• Bullish Catalyst: The company was officially added to the S&P 500 index.
• Takeaway: The stock jumped significantly in after-hours trading on the news. S&P 500 inclusion forces index funds to buy the stock, creating strong buying pressure.

SoFi (SOFI)

• The stock has been holding the $21 level.
• A JMP Securities analyst issued a neutral rating, suggesting investors take profits after the recent run-up.
• Takeaway: The stock is at a crossroads. The key question for investors is whether it can break out towards $30 on catalysts like rate cuts or if it will consolidate around the $20 level.